About Advertise Archive Contact Search Subscribe
Serving the Loop and Near North neighborhoods of downtown Chicago
Facebook X Vimeo RSS
The Home Front

18-Aug-18 – Buried in college loan debt, and carrying gloomy memories of the Great Recession – which may have caused their parents’ home values to sink underwater and lose thousands of dollars in equity – the housing confidence and enthusiasm of Millennials has plummeted to a record low, reports a new survey of home buyers.

According to the ValueInsured Modern Homebuyer Survey, now fewer than half of the Millennial generation – those people aged 22 to 37 years old – see perceived value in buying a home.

In the third quarter of 2018, only 48 percent of all Millennials surveyed believe buying a home in America today is a good investment. This is a record low, down from 54 percent in the second quarter. The previous high was 77 percent two years ago.

Here are other findings of the quarterly survey by ValueInsured, a provider of home down-payment and refinance equity protection...

• Only 58 percent of Millennials now agree buying a home is the best financial decision they can make for themselves and their family. That percentage is the lowest recorded over the past ten survey quarters.

New home in Forest Glen

• Only 61 percent of Millennials surveyed believe buying a home is more beneficial than renting, again a survey low. That’s down from a high of 83 percent two years ago.

• While 76 percent of all homeowners believe now is a good time to sell a home, only 39 percent of Millennials who want to become homeowners believe now is a good time to buy a home.

In addition to reporting a steady slide in their conviction for home buying, more Millennials now associate owning with sacrifices...

• 23 percent – nearly one in four – believe they need to delay having children to afford a home.

• 32 percent do not believe they can afford a healthy and balanced diet while saving for a home at today’s high prices.

• 31 percent are seriously considering relocating to another city to afford a home.

“Conventional wisdom assumed Millennials were buying homes later because they chose to get married and have children later,” said Joseph Melendez (right), CEO and founder of ValueInsured. “New research now suggests homeownership may be the cause – not the effect – of delayed family formation. It is an alarming trend, and we see more acute evidence in expensive housing regions.”

Joseph Melendez

Among Millennials who are still interested and motived to become homeowners “in the near future,” their anticipation is often filled with anxiety. Among motivated first-time buyers, 49 percent are concerned rising mortgage rates could make homes currently within their budget become unaffordable later.

On August 16, Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey reported that interest rates on benchmark 30-year fixed-rate home loans averaged 4.53 percent, down slightly from 4.59 percent a week earlier.

Living room in Wicker Park

Mortgage rates have been trending upward for most of 2018. Benchmark 30-year fixed loan rates now are a half of one percentage point higher than they were in January. A year ago at this time, the 30-year fixed loan average was 3.89 percent.

A whopping 67 percent of Millennials surveyed are concerned they will not save enough down payment money for a home in which they would like to live. And, 52 percent believe a home they buy now will likely drop in value within one year.

Some 68 percent are concerned about another housing crisis, and 64 percent admit they will likely experience buyer’s remorse after reaching their homeownership goal.

Their trepidation could be explained by the high stakes these Millennials plan to undertake. Some 85 percent of those surveyed expect their home down payment to represent over half of their total personal assets.

“Most home buyers experience a healthy amount of jitters before such a milestone purchase – that’s normal,” Melendez said. “But the new normal is highly anxious, inexperienced buyers who are bungee-jumping into home buying without knowing if their safety harnesses will work.”

Melendez believes that is an unhealthy approach, bordering on a dysfunctional trend that the housing industry “needs to mitigate to ensure we do not lose an entire generation of future homeowners.”