(Above) Dragon, a reusable spacecraft developed by SpaceX that can deliver up to 13,000 pounds of cargo and return to Earth. It is launched into orbit by the Falcon 9, also designed by SpaceX. On May 22, 2012, the 12-foot-diameter, 20-foot-long Dragon became the first commercial spacecraft to successfully rendezvous with the International Space Station. A second version, Dragon 2, will also transport people. (Click on images to view larger versions.)
August 23, 2018 If you just want to get what youve always gotten, keep doing what youve always done. If you want to change the old rules and get better, youve got to start aiming higher and thinking bigger. Theres always a best seat in the house, the best row at the show, and something desperately worth shooting for which we all know that you may not always get. But shame on you if you dont at least go for it. If you dont ask, the answer is always No.
Today, I think theres no better example of reaching for the stars for companies and entrepreneurs of every size than SpaceX and its semi-combustible founder, Elon Musk. Notwithstanding Elons current angst at his automobile firm, Tesla, which is about nuts-and-bolts production, not vision, the SpaceX engine that he built almost as an afterthought continues to fire on all cylinders.
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SpaceX is making the impossible seem commonplace and raising the bar for big dreams being backed up by awesome deliverables. Dockless bikes, slick little scooters, and new offerings of gluten-free whatever all seem depressingly trivial compared with Elons grand ambitions. (Left) Elon Musk, photographed in 2008 by J.D. Lasica |
Things in the space biz may take a little longer than expected, but some of the beneficial by-products may even turn out to be better than initially expected.
The scale and scope of what SpaceX has already achieved since it was founded in 2002 is unlike anything that has come before or after. Keep in mind that NASA was formed in 1958, more than 60 years ago, and these days its getting help from SpaceX in Hawthorne, California, and taking Dream Chaser directions from the Sierra Nevada orbital vehicle builders in Louisville, Colorado.
Jeff Bezos has been in the space business with Blue Origin since 2000 and hes got bupkes to show for it. Richard Branson is another big talker with Virgin Galactic, which he founded in 2004, but it seems that hes perpetually just six months away from being in space. Dont hold your breath.
SpaceX factory builds possibilities and believers
As you might expect, seeing in this case just makes believing that much easier. You cant visit the SpaceX factory without coming away with the overwhelming impression that theres a palpable sense of possibility and the belief that virtually anything is achievable with enough time, effort, and perseverance.
This isnt some cheap Silicon Valley talk or pie in the sky (no pun intended) prediction. Its an outgrowth and extension of an attitude that is as compelling as it is contagious. And that attitude is backed in facts and in demonstrable results.
(Right) Falcon 9 launch vehicle in hanger in Hawthorne, California. |
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These people are hard-core professionals engineers and scientists who spend their days head-down making things happen. Elon does the dreaming, scheming, and sweating, but these are the hundreds of people who get the job done every day. They might technically be manufacturing machines and missiles, but what they really make here are believers. People who believe that the world is leaning in their direction and that success, albeit over time, is far more probable, not just possible, than any other outcome.
So, whats the main message from SpaceX for the rest of us? We need to look further and wider if were going to up the ante, make major changes, and leapfrog the competition. Using the best available data and basing our plans, programs, and designs on real metrics and milestones rather than make-believe is an essential methodology. But, if its the only view you have of the future, youll find that your focus is far narrower than it should be and that your energies end up being directed mainly to short, sure wins instead of big jumps and new horizons.
This conservative approach leads to designs and choices that tend to be marginal improvements and incremental gains rather than game-changing moves. Successive approximation and consistent iteration are great tools, and getting a little better every day, but the key word is little and what we need more of are bigger leaps and longer look-aheads.
